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Comparing Susceptibility to Misinformation Across Climate Change and COVID-19

General Information

Project description

Current psychological research has focused a great deal of studying susceptibility to misinformation across a single domain (e.g. COVID-19, Climate Change, etc...). It's not well understood if susceptibility is dependent on the content and context of misinformation. To address this, our team will investigate which predictors of susceptibility are consistent across topic areas.

Analysis Plan

Pre-analysis plan: Is there a pre-analysis plan associated with this registration?

Yes

Hypothesis

Are social demographic, psychological, and cognitive predictors of susceptibility to misinformation, dependent on the context (i.e., topic/domain) of the information?

How hypothesis will be tested

Our team will compare two survey data sets in the area of misinformation: 1) COVID-19, 2) Climate Change. Both data sets have matching variables across a number of constructs thought to influence susceptibility to misinformation. We will compare which variables are significant predictors of misinformation across contexts.

Dependent variables

Misinformation Discernment Scores following methods used in Pennycook et al. (2021). To measure susceptibility to misinformation we have participants rate accuracy/belief on a series of news statements. Half the statements were true and have were false. We then created a difference score between the average accuracy ratings found on the true and false stimuli. This difference score was our dependent variable representing susceptibility to misinformation.

These statements were either about COVID-19 or Climate Change depending on the data set.

Analyses

To address our research question, we will compare the statistical relationships of our independent and dependent variables across our misinformation data sets. We will use a multivariate regression, modelling susceptibility to misinformation as the outcome variable. We will take the independent variables listed in the pre-analysis plan and use them across data sets. Our goal is to 1) identify which predictors of misinformation susceptibility are similar/dissimilar across COVID-19 and Climate Change, and 2) Compare the overall variance explained and individual predictor effect sizes across misinformation areas.

External link

Who is behind the project?

Institution: Privy Council Office
Team: Impact and Innovation Unit (IIU)

Project status:

Pre-registration

Methods

Methodology: Survey
Could you self-grade the strength of the evidence generated by this study?: 5
Data collection: Have any data been collected for this project already?: Some or all of the data have been collected, but the research team has not had access
Start date: 08/10/2022

What is the project about?

Policy area(s): Environment, Climate Change, Health
Topic(s): Trust, 一 Other
Behavioural tool(s): 一 Other

Date published:

2 December 2022

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