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Intergenerational Fairness Policy Assessment Toolkit and Future Check

Intergenerational fairness—the idea that we should meet the needs of the present without compromising rights of future generations or citizens—is a defining theme of our time. Although most politicians and citizens value fairness, society does not have a way to assess the impact we’re having on future generations and advocate for them. This Framework for Intergenerational Fairness contributes to this. The Framework provides a pragmatic solution, whether as a young citizen, or public servant.

Innovation Summary

Innovation Overview

The recent 2021 German constitutional court ruling, the 2015 Welsh Future Generations Act as well as other judicial and policy developments globally (including in Portugal, US, Australia, Bolivia, Netherlands, not least the EU Ministers of the Future Network and the UNSG's commitment to a Special Envoy for Future Generations) demonstrate a growing precedence in protecting the rights of future citizens. The principle of Intergenerational Fairness – the principle of not disproportionately running down next generations’ resources and being aware of the distributional impacts of decisions today over time – is becoming increasingly established as an important one. This is a very quickly changing area of governance and policy innovation - 2022 is potentially a watershed moment.

These developments - and others in US, Portugal, Australia, Bolivia, Netherlands, not least a European Ministers of the Future network - seek to ensure that future generations’ freedoms are not excessively limited by the action of today’s citizens, not least that we do not consume disproportionately or behave in other ways at the expense of the wellbeing of future generations. However, although most politicians and citizens value fairness, society doesn’t have a systematic way to assess the impact we’re having on future generations and advocate for them.

The Framework for Intergenerational Fairness is an enabling mechanism that contributes to this objective and intersects other mechanisms such as the UN SDGs (sustainable development goals).

The framework consists of three inter-linked elements:

  • Guidance for institutional ownership that provides legitimacy within the political system and accountability to the public.
  • A blueprint for national dialogue to collectively consider society’s vision for the future.
  • A policy assessment toolkit that applies latest best practice to provide useful clarity on the questions of intergenerational fairness in a specific policy or legislation.

In this submission, we’d like to highlight the policy assessment tool. The policy assessment tool is available in an Excel spreadsheet that guides an assessor through the 5 step process to determine whether a given policy is intergenerationally fair. By answering five questions, does the policy:

  • Move the country away from its vision for the future?
  • Disadvantage any generations, alive now or in the future?
  • Disadvantage people at any specific life stage?
  • Strengthens the transmission of inequality through generations?
  • Restrict the choice of future generations?

It is designed to be a tool for thinking, communication and action, not just a “tick box” exercise. It has been designed on the best and most recent practices in policy assessment, risk management and strategic foresight. A focus on outcomes and practical recommendations. This was done with the aim to develop a practical and pragmatic tool, that is easy and initiative to use, and provides practical recommendation that can lead to changes in behaviour.

Since its development, it has been used to assess Portuguese policy, long-term UK legislation, and adapted to assess the social mobility impacts of the UK policy.

Specifically, the tool has been piloted in Future Check, which is a citizen led service, organised by SOIF and All Parliamentary Group for Future Generations (APPG-FG). It is designed to help parliamentarians, policymakers and the public to consider the long-term impact of proposed government legislation. The assessments are conducted by volunteers on live pieces of legislation which are passing through Parliament and identified by All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) as a top priority for future generations. The programme reviews upcoming legislation in the UK parliament to examine its impact on current and future generations. Essentially the process makes space for under- represented people, including future generations, to feedback on long-term consequences of today’s policy decisions.

The broader framework sets out a recipe for a broader dialogue process that can support anticipatory governance. Our aim is also to continue to support uptake of the framework, tailoring the approach to support national dialogue, broadening uptake of the future check and other assessment in parliaments, government, and developing tools that support civil society, youth and media to use the framework and tool.

Innovation Description

What Makes Your Project Innovative?

Two key barriers stand in the way to operationalising the concept of intergenerational fairness in public policy. First, we need to close the constituency gap. Younger and future generations don’t have a vote, so their interests aren’t always heard. Second, we need to close the data gap. There isn’t reliable or comprehensive information on the long-term impact of most policies necessary to make fair decisions for current and future generations. The intergenerational framework provides a unique practical and pragmatic solution that can be used by government and society to support intergenerational dialogue. It sets out an approach to bring together participatory approaches, strategic foresight, and intergenerational fairness as part of a national (or sub-national) dialogue, that can then inform decision-making and assessment. The assessment tool—an important part of the framework—is designed to be simple to use. Anyone from a Secretary of the UN, to a youth activist can use the tool.

What is the current status of your innovation?

  • The framework has been developed but not all aspects of the framework have been implemented. The assessment tool is the most advanced, having been piloted and implemented in the UK as part of the Future Check process organised by SOIF and All Parliamentary Group for Future Generations (APPG-FG).
  • It has been adopted by various institutions and adapted for use in social mobility. The Portuguese President has committed to its use to support policy development.
  • Training is currently being offered, free of charge, to those who want to start to adopt the framework supporting uptake and knowledge diffusion.
  • The framework and toolkit, developed with the support of Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation in Portugal has been released under a creative commons license

Innovation Development

Collaborations & Partnerships

  • The framework was developed in collaboration with the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation in Portugal. They have been championing the need for intergenerational justice and have encouraged their network of Portuguese policy makers in being early adopters of the framework.
  • Some of the pilots of the policy assessment toolkit included Banco de Portugal, Portuguese President’s office, UK Social Mobility Commission, and the APPG-Future Genereations in the UK. The pilots have provided useful feedback for

Users, Stakeholders & Beneficiaries

  • People come to the topic of intergenerational fairness from different angles and interests. For example, housing, healthcare, pensions, transportation, COVID, climate change – are all experienced different by different age groups and across time.
  • The Future Check helps citizens, democracy activists and civil society groups to drive political accountability in government around intergenerational issues. This is done by supporting under-represented groups, including future generations, to use Fu

Innovation Reflections

Results, Outcomes & Impacts

The Portuguese President, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, announced that he will champion intergenerational fairness, including training the Portuguese President’s staff in our intergenerational fairness assessment method. The pilot gained positive feedback from organisations including the Bank of Portugal, the national audit body, the Court of Auditors, and the Finance Council. We have also demonstrated through the pilot that Future Check can work and connect citizen voice to parliamentary processes both by bringing in trained citizen volunteers to perform assessments, and by providing structure for expert led assessments to place insights from diverse groups of citizens at the centre. Qualitative feedback was captured through the APPG pilot, receiving positive feedback from both users and parliamentarians. We are currently building a network of users who are experimenting with the toolkit and will be capturing additional evidence of use, uptake and impact from the international community.

Challenges and Failures

Over the course of the 5-year+ collaboration the issue has moved from the periphery to the centre as interest has grown, becoming a key political issue. The three-part framework—intergenerational assessment, national dialogue, and institutional ownership—has yet to be implemented to its full potential. While we have designed a National Dialogue on the “Portugal We Want” with institutional partners it does not yet have the political mandate to be piloted or implemented due to changing political priorities. We are continuing to work in Portugal and internationally to drive the potential for a full national dialogue. In the meantime, we are continuing to train and implement the assessment tool; and support organisations and institutions to build their capacity and capability and think through the institutional structures needed to implement the framework. We are also hoping to develop a more user-friendly interface, and a version that can be used by youth in their communities.

Conditions for Success

Ensuring effective long-term decision-making is hard. It requires decision-makers across public, private and civil society to be incentivised, and for all citizens to be empowered to have a say around the future. To do this requires change at different levels. Success may come from: building on current initiatives and mandates outlined in the UN Secretary General’s Our Common Agenda; and Ursula von der Leyen’s State of the Union; engagement with advocates across government; driving conversations to hold governments to account; translating the insights from the citizen-led process and puttubg them in the hands of sector campaigners; weaving networks and coalition-building to engage and connect democracy activists, civil society, youth with parliament and government; and campaigns to ensure IGF is part of the public and global conscience.

Replication

We have adapted the policy assessment toolkit to assess UK policy and legislation against criteria related to social mobility, alongside intergenerational fairness. We engaged stakeholders and conducted a literature review to create an initial prototype which was tested and refined during a piloting phase. The principles and tools contained in the framework has the potential to be applied to a broad range of decision-making, not just policy in away that builds solidarity, respects current and future generations and provides scrutiny. The framework has the potential to be used to provide both “outside-in” and “inside-out” pressure, and for different purposes. Helping different stakeholders communicate in a way that empowers all generations, helping citizens to have a voice and engage meaningfully in conversations whether as legislators, policymakers, companies, civil society or as citizens.

Lessons Learned

Decisions being made today, will have distributional costs and benefits that play out over long timescales impacting future generations. The intergenerational framework provides a framework to take this agenda forward through intergenerational assessment, intergenerational dialogues, and institutional accountability, however, there are different approaches to embedding the IGF principle into policy, legislation, financing, taxation, audit planning and scrutiny. Intergenerational policy assessment is particularly helpful as a way of helping stakeholders see a tangible way of making progress and taking action. To ensure meaningful and lasting change, you need to start to integrate this into your ecosystem; building the support and interest from senior decision-makers, developing network of allies and collaborators, and where possible investing in process and structures to sustain this over time.

Anything Else?

While we have focused on the framework and toolkit, and its application to the APPG-Future Generations; we would suggest that to help champion the uptake of this work it could be helpful to bring in an alternative political voice for instance the President of Portugal, Ruby Gropas, or a colleague, who is championing this approach within the European Commission, or another advocate to support the event in Dubai. We would happily help to make these connections and look forward to exploring this with you.

Status:

  • Implementation - making the innovation happen

Innovation provided by:

Date Published:

18 January 2023

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